FORECASTING AN VIBRATION BY MONITORING THE DYNAMICS OF CHANGES ITS PRECURSORS OF VARIOUS PHYSICAL NATURE

  • 1Sumy State University, Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Electronics and Information Technologies, Sumy, UA
  • 2Technical University of Kosice, Department of Automotive and Manufacturing Technologies, Faculty of Manufacturing Technologies , Presov, SK
  • 3Department Science, Environment and Energy, Brussels, BE

Abstract

Prediction crosses all fields of Science, being itself the evident manifestation of the Scientific Method. This study addresses the delicate aspect of vibration forecasting, which considers the association and interaction between the variables involved, such as radio anomalies, the proton density of the solar wind preceding strong vibration. The analysis is based on the collection of about 800 data of vibration of range equal to or greater than 6 occurred on a global scale between 2012 and 2014, related to solar wind and radio anomalies detected before the disastrous Tohoku vibration of March 11, 2011. To discuss the data has been applied the deductive logic, which allows to make predictions from the hypotheses, formulated in a mathematical way. In this context, the mechanisms of triggering vibration are hypothesized with an interaction of electrical nature, at subatomic scale. The outcome of the research has shown encouraging results on the application of the prediction formula, reinforced by the control of its parameters.

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